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Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.South Korea says economic and market uncertainties still exist.The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.

Digging deep into the multiplier effect, we will launch a new round of coupons. Beijing will issue no less than 30,000 coupons for ice and snow, Changzhou, Jiangsu will issue 1 million yuan coupons for "Su Xin Consumption Celebrating New Year's Day" in 2024, and Xi 'an will launch a new round of coupons ... With the arrival of the peak consumption season at the end of the year, we will launch a new round of coupons distribution activities in many places and increase support for catering, cultural tourism and other consumption fields. The reporter found that the new round of coupons is characterized by multi-domain, rolling and multi-denomination distribution, covering catering, accommodation, sports and other fields. At the same time, rolling distribution of coupons can effectively cover important consumption nodes such as New Year's Day and Spring Festival, and multi-denomination coupons will also meet the diverse needs of different consumers. "The issuance of coupons can produce a multiplier effect and drive a wider range of economic activities. As a short-term stimulus measure, coupons will quickly boost consumer confidence, activate market demand, and at the same time drive the recovery and development of related industries. In particular, the accurate delivery of consumer vouchers in different fields and batches will help guide the consumption direction and optimize the consumption structure. " Zeng Fue, a professor at economics and management school of wuhan university, said. (Economic Information Daily)Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: I will face impeachment, investigation or any possible situation; My martial law attempt cannot constitute rebellion. Martial law is the president's decision to protect the country's freedom, democracy and constitutional order from the dictatorship of the opposition parliament.

The Nikkei 225 index hit a two-month high of 40,000 points, and the Nikkei 225 index hit a two-month high of 40,000 points, up 1.61% in the day.All localities have actively deployed resources to further support mergers and acquisitions and guide them to gather in a "new" way. Since this year, there have been frequent policies to support mergers and acquisitions of enterprises, such as Eight Measures on Deepening science and technology innovation board's Reform, Serving Technological Innovation and Developing New Productivity, and Opinions on Deepening Market Reform of Mergers and Acquisitions of Listed Companies. At the same time, various localities have successively issued relevant rules or carried out special activities, so that mergers and acquisitions of enterprises have a direction and confidence. According to the reporter, up to now, Shanghai, Jiangxi, Sichuan, Shenzhen, Tianjin and other places have issued relevant documents to support enterprises to carry out mergers and acquisitions; Shanxi, Beijing, Hubei, Hunan, Qingdao and other places "answer questions" for enterprises' mergers and acquisitions through forums or training meetings. According to Tian Lihui, dean of the Institute of Financial Development of Nankai University, there are three major trends in local support policies. First, the logic of industrial synergy is constantly strengthening; Second, continue to improve the efficiency of M&A services and regulatory inclusiveness; The third is to persist in strengthening risk prevention. Generally speaking, with the support of policies, a number of high-quality industrial M&A cases are expected to land. Driven by multiple favorable factors, the M&A market is becoming more and more active. (Securities Daily)Hong Kong suspended the import of poultry meat and poultry products from Ehime Prefecture, Japan. On December 11th, the Center for Food Safety of the Food and Environmental Hygiene Department of Hong Kong announced that in response to the notification from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan that highly pathogenic H5 avian influenza broke out in Ehime Prefecture, Japan, the Center immediately instructed the industry to suspend the import of poultry meat and poultry products (including eggs) from this area to protect public health in Hong Kong. A spokesman for the Centre said that according to the information of the Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong imported about 2,000 metric tons of frozen poultry meat and 227.42 million eggs from Japan in the first nine months of this year. The spokesman said: "The Center has contacted the Japanese authorities on the incident and will continue to pay close attention to the news of the outbreak of avian influenza issued by the World Organization for Animal Health and relevant authorities, and take appropriate actions in response to the development of the local epidemic."