The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)US Central Command: The US military repelled the Houthi armed attack. On December 10, local time, the US Central Command said that two destroyers of the US Navy successfully repelled a series of weapons launched by the Houthi armed forces in Yemen when they crossed the Gulf of Aden from September 9 to 10. According to the statement, the destroyer intercepted and shot down several one-way attack drone systems and an anti-ship cruise missile. According to the US Central Command, the US Navy destroyer successfully repelled the Houthi armed attack during the transit from November 30 to December 1. (CCTV)Industry Report: API crude oil inventories in the United States increased by about 500,000 barrels last week. According to american petroleum institute (API) data, API crude oil inventories in the United States increased by+499,000 barrels in the week of December 6, compared with+1.232 million barrels in the previous week. Last week, API Cushing crude oil inventory was-1.517 million barrels, with the previous value of+112,000 barrels. Last week, the inventory of API refined oil gasoline was+2.852 million barrels (previous value+4.623 million barrels) and the inventory of distillate oil was-185,000 barrels (previous value+1.014 million barrels).
Chicago corn futures rose more than 1.5%, and the monthly report of USDA made the agricultural products market violently fluctuate. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, CBOT corn futures rose 1.53% to 4.48-1/2 USD/bushel. After USDA released its inventory forecast report at 01:00 Beijing time, it broke the sideways consolidation state around 4.42 USD earlier in the day and accelerated. CBOT wheat futures rose 0.76% to $5.61/bushel. After the release of USDA monthly report, it fell below $5.56, then rebounded and refreshed above $5.63. CBOT soybean futures rose 0.53% to $ 9.95-1/4/bushel, and the USDA monthly report fell back to a level close to $9.90, then rebounded and approached the daily high of $10 refreshed at 23:41. Soybean meal futures rose by 0.97% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.21%.Jin Guanping, Economic Daily: Implement more active and promising macro policies. The article points out that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025, and put forward "implement more active and promising macro policies" and "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment" in view of the macro policy orientation next year, and clearly implement more active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies. This important deployment has released a clear signal of strengthening macro-control and strong and steady growth. Implementing a "more active" fiscal policy means increasing fiscal countercyclical adjustment and improving the effectiveness of fiscal policy while maintaining policy stability and continuity. "Moderately loose" means that monetary policy will better reflect the supportive stance and orientation, maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, and further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents.South Korea's unemployment rate in November was 2.7%, expected to be 2.7%, and the previous value was 2.70%.
EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.The Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage was opened to traffic today. At 15: 00 on December 11th, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's key traffic project, the Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage, will be put into trial operation, adding another "key level" to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's cross-river traffic network. After opening to traffic, the land transit time from Zhuhai to Jiangmen will be shortened from more than one hour to about 30 minutes.Standard & Poor's: Downgrading Intel's rating to BBB, the outlook is stable. The recovery of the company's business activities is slow.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14